Leadoff
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🔒 VIP ACCESS · NO RUNS FIRST INNING

One play.
Every morning.
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Leadoff's proprietary NRFI model crunches every MLB starter, lineup, head-to-head, and ballpark factor — and ships you the day's sharpest first-inning play before books even post the line.

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28.6%
Model Hit Rate
7
Sample Size
50.4%
League Avg
54.5%
Implied @ -120
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The Lock

One NRFI play every morning at 9 AM ET. Sharp pricing, no fluff.

✓

Full breakdown

Every reason: pitcher streaks, head-to-head NRFI rate, weather, umpire, lineup.

✓

Track record kept honest

Every play logged. Every result settled. Closing-line value tracked.

Model historical edge

On games matching the "STRONG" profile,
28.6% historical NRFI hit rate

Across 7 qualifying games in the dataset. League average is ~50%. Books typically price NRFI at -120 (54% implied), so anything above that is positive expected value before juice.

How it works

1

Subscribe

One-tap signup with Stripe. Cancel anytime, no commitment.

2

Pick lands at 9 AM ET

One NRFI lock in your inbox every morning. Pitcher streaks, head-to-head, weather, ump — all in one breakdown.

3

Tail and track

Place the bet at the listed price, follow the model. Results graded automatically. Your record is your record.

Frequently asked

What is NRFI?▾
No Runs First Inning. Either team scoring in the 1st inning loses the bet. Books typically price NRFI around -120 (54% implied), so finding spots above that is positive expected value.
How many picks do I get?▾
One per day — the highest-edge play on the slate. We don't spam you with marginal spots. If there's no edge, you don't get a play that day.
What if I'm new to betting?▾
Start small. A typical unit is 1% of your bankroll. Never bet more than you can lose. Read our disclaimer before you wager a dollar.
Where do I place the bets?▾
Anywhere sports wagering is legal in your state — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Pinnacle. We tell you which book has the best price each day. Leadoff doesn't accept wagers — we just tell you where to find them.
How accurate is the model?▾
On historical games matching the "STRONG NRFI" profile, the hit rate is what you see in the box above. Past performance doesn't predict future results — variance is real and you will have losing weeks. But the long-term edge is what matters.
Can I cancel?▾
Anytime, from any email or by writing support. Your access continues until the end of the period you've already paid for. No refunds for completed periods — see the full refund policy.

Today

15 games on the slate

Members get the breakdown of the highest-edge play before first pitch.

LEADOFF VIP

One play, every morning.